President Donald Trump has described a planned meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping on nuclear disarmament as potentially the most important meeting of its kind, telling reporters at the White House on Wednesday 28 October 2026 that the session was already scheduled. “It could be the single most important meeting,” Trump said, in remarks that immediately raised as many questions as they answered — because no date, venue or agenda for the meeting has been publicly confirmed, and China has not confirmed that it will take part.
Trump’s remarks came in a wide-ranging exchange with reporters in which he also addressed the war in Ukraine and the state of the world’s nuclear arsenals. He said the United States has more nuclear weapons than anybody, that Russia is second, and that China is third but catching up. On China specifically, he said the country is much further behind the United States on nuclear capability but “they’ll catch us within five years”. That assessment — a five-year window before China reaches parity — is the president’s own characterisation, not a published intelligence estimate, and it frames the urgency he attaches to disarmament talks: if the window for negotiation is closing, the time to talk is now.
What Trump actually said
The 28 October remarks are worth reporting precisely, because the story since then has sometimes run ahead of them. Trump said a meeting with Xi on nuclear disarmament was already scheduled and could be the single most important meeting. He did not, in the reported accounts, give a date, a place or a list of topics. He did not say whether the meeting would be bilateral — just the United States and China — or whether it would include Russia, as he had suggested earlier in October. And he did not say whether Beijing had agreed to the meeting, or whether the scheduling he referred to reflects an American proposal, a mutual understanding, or a formal agreement.
In the same remarks, Trump said that a meeting involving Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy would be set up “very soon” to discuss ending the Russia–Ukraine war, now in its fifth year, and that an agreement could also be reached without a meeting. That second claim, reported by the Taipei Times from agency coverage, follows a similar pattern: a bold statement of imminent diplomacy, without the details that would allow others to verify it. Both claims should be read as statements of presidential intent and optimism, not as confirmed diplomatic events.
Trump last met Xi at the White House on 24 September 2026, according to AzerNews. That meeting provides the recent context for the new remarks: the two leaders have a direct channel, and nuclear issues have been part of their broader conversations about the US–China relationship. But a previous meeting is not a confirmation of a future one, and the absence of any joint statement about a nuclear session is conspicuous. When leaders agree to a summit on a topic as sensitive as nuclear weapons, the agreement is usually announced jointly, with at least a date range and a stated purpose. None of that has appeared.
Trump Xi nuclear meeting and the three-way idea
The idea of a three-way meeting has been circulating since mid-October. On 19–20 October 2026, Trump said he would join a possible three-way meeting with Xi and Putin on denuclearisation, possibly on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Shenzhen, China, in mid-November, if Xi wanted it. The conditional phrasing — “if Xi wanted it” — already signalled that Beijing’s participation was not assured. The Kremlin’s response reinforced that caution: on 19 October, it said the idea of such a three-way meeting had been mentioned, but spokesman Dmitry Peskov stressed that no concrete proposals on timing, agenda or outcomes had been agreed.
China’s foreign ministry said on 19 October that it had no information to share about a trilateral session. That is diplomatic language for “we have not agreed to this”, and it fits with Beijing’s long-standing position on nuclear talks. China has repeatedly said its arsenal is far smaller than those of the United States and Russia, which together hold about 90 percent of the world’s nuclear weapons, and that trilateral talks at this stage would therefore be unfair. On that view, the two countries with the overwhelming majority of the world’s warheads should reduce their arsenals first, before asking the country with a small fraction to join constraints that would freeze its disadvantage in place.
That position is not unreasonable on its own terms, and it is not new. China has made versions of this argument for years, under different American administrations. It does not mean Beijing will never join nuclear talks, but it does mean that any Chinese participation is likely to be conditional — on the format, on the agenda, and on what the United States and Russia are prepared to offer in return. A bilateral US–China meeting, as Trump described on 28 October, might be an easier format for Beijing than a three-way session in which it would be visibly the junior nuclear power. But even a bilateral meeting would require Beijing to accept that the topic is ripe for discussion, and so far it has not publicly done so.
Why the timing matters: New START has expired
The backdrop to all of this is the expiry of the last US–Russia nuclear arms treaty. New START, which entered into force in 2011, expired in February 2026, leaving no legally binding US–Russia framework for the first time in over five decades, according to Kyodo and Mainichi reporting. For more than 50 years, through the Cold War and its aftermath, the two largest nuclear powers were bound by some form of treaty limiting their strategic arsenals, with verification measures that allowed each side to confirm the other’s compliance. That era is now over.
The absence of a treaty does not mean either side has immediately built thousands of new weapons, and both countries remain bound by other norms and by the practical constraints of their arsenals. But it does mean there is no agreed ceiling, no inspection regime and no formal channel for managing the nuclear relationship. In that vacuum, presidential statements about meetings take on extra weight, because they are among the few visible signs that diplomacy might fill the gap. They also carry extra risk, because a statement that raises expectations and then produces no meeting can deepen mistrust rather than reduce it.
Trump’s framing of the Xi meeting as potentially the most important meeting reflects that context. If the United States, Russia and China — the three largest nuclear powers — could agree even on principles for future limits, it would be a historic achievement. If only the United States and China could begin a serious conversation, that too would matter, because China has never been part of a bilateral nuclear arms framework with the United States. The prize is real. The question is whether the diplomatic groundwork exists to reach it, and on the public evidence, that groundwork is not yet visible.
Both sides, and what is not yet decided
Trump presents disarmament talks as urgent and positive for the world, and there is a straightforward case for that view: fewer nuclear weapons, with verification, would make the world safer, and talking is better than not talking. His emphasis on China’s catching up within five years adds a time pressure that, if accepted, argues for starting now rather than later, when the balance may be less favourable to negotiation.
Beijing’s stated position is the counterweight. From China’s perspective, joining talks now would mean accepting constraints while its arsenal is still far smaller than those of the other two powers, and doing so without any guarantee that the United States and Russia will reduce theirs first. China also has its own security concerns — including American missile defences, alliances in Asia and conventional military capabilities — that it may want addressed before it discusses nuclear limits. None of this means Beijing will refuse forever, but it does mean that a meeting cannot be treated as agreed simply because one leader has announced it.
Russia’s position, as expressed by the Kremlin, is the most cautious of all: the topic has been mentioned, nothing concrete has been agreed. That may reflect genuine uncertainty, or it may reflect a preference for bilateral US–Russia talks over a three-way format. Either way, it underlines that the diplomatic picture is far less settled than a single presidential remark might suggest.
What readers should watch for is not another remark but a confirmation: a joint statement, a date, a venue, an agenda, or a statement from Beijing or Moscow agreeing to participate. Until one of those appears, the Xi nuclear meeting remains planned according to Trump, unconfirmed according to everyone else — and the most important meeting, if it happens, is still to be scheduled in any verifiable sense.
Sources
USN reviewed reporting from multiple outlets for this story. Read more from The Hawk, Mid-Day and Mainichi.
